The Fantasy Front – AFL Dream Team Round 17

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We’re back on the Fantasy Front with our AFL Dream Team advice for Round 17! Ask our experts your Dream Team questions in the comment section below or on twitter @BlindsideSport!

Roman’s team currently sits 1,768 of 234,862 in AFL Dream Team. Round 17 trades included Dangerfield – Heppell and Tippett – Cloke ($36,500 remaining).

With the byes well and truly behind us, most AFL Dream Team coaches will be close to having 22 premium players on the field. Despite that, the unlimited trades afforded to coaches in 2013 mean there is still a lot of work that can be done to improve your team.

Keys to Round 17

Several big talking points coming from Round 16 mean that you might be on the defensive come this weekend:

  1. Oust any significantly underperforming players or cover for suspension and injury
  2. Capitalize on the misfortune of others!

Points of Difference

Last week we threw up the idea of trading out Josh Kennedy. If you followed our advice, his 85 points might have had you kicking yourself. If you followed the other half of our recommendation and brought in Steve Johnson, his 156 points would have you over the moon – even if his suspension isn’t ideal.

In the midfield, our promotion of Joel Selwood and his return to AFL Dream Team viability paid off with the Geelong captain posting a mammoth 126 points, his 4th score in excess of 120 in the past 5 rounds!

Our luck came undone in defense with the recent consistency of Hartlett and Terlich coming to an abrupt halt. Both probably deserve to be traded out but we’ll tell you which one is a greater priority later on.

This week, we’re touting a unique pick in each position and an overly popular player you might look at trading out!

Defence

In: Jack Grimes ($362,400) has returned from his broken collarbone in fine form. After removing his injury-affected Round 6 from the equation, Melbourne’s co-captain averages 87.29 for the year. His scores of 90 and 94 since his return have done nothing to harm his fantasy value either. With 12 tackles last outing against Geelong, Grimes’ output has the chance to increase significantly if he adds an O’Keefe defensive intensity at stoppages. Four favourable match-ups (including the expansion clubs) in the coming month add to his value.

Out: Hamish Hartlett ($374,700) is one of the most polarizing figures in Dream Team and deservedly so. Even as someone who knowingly embarks on the rollercoaster that is the Port Adelaide midfielder, his production against Hawthorn (one of the more liberal teams when it comes to tagging) was atrocious. Playing a defensive role on a vastly superior player in Brad Hodge didn’t help his cause.

Midfield

In: Joel Selwood ($452,400) has been in impervious form of late. Overcoming a score of 38 against Fremantle to still average 109 over his last 5 Rounds is an incredible effort and the Cats skipper doesn’t look like slowing. An incredibly favourable month should see his price rocket.

Out: Patrick Dangerfield ($479,100) may be one of the best players in the competition, but even his heroics on Friday night against Collingwood will see him on the sidelines for some time. The Crows are insisting he is a week-by-week prospect, but we don’t really believe them. Even if Dangerfield does return within 3 weeks, don’t expect him to be at his dynamic best.

Forward

In: Tom Rockliff ($398,400) finally seems to have returned to form. His price represents tremendous value and Brisbane’s run into the finals is the best of any team in the competition. He averages 111.20 against Melbourne, his opponent this weekend, and comes off a season-high 134 against North.

Out: Josh Kennedy ($440,900) and Lance Franklin ($366,100) are both owned by over 100,000 coaches, however neither represent value for money over the coming month. Franklin is simply not his usual self and a nagging knee injury could see him rested heading into the finals, whilst Kennedy faces the AFL’s best defenders over the coming month. Take a risk and oust the pair.

Predicted Over-Performers

This week we’ve chosen 5 players we feel will perform substantially above their season average or recent form, making them great candidates to trade into your team!

Pearce Hanley: Brisbane’s most dangerous player against what remains the most inept team in the AFL. Melbourne cannot tag and his ability to accumulate across half-back and provide a goal threat from the wing should see him dominate.

Michael Hibberd: One of Essendon’s 3 most-improved players should receive little attention this week. Essentially the fulcrum on which the Bombers’ attack revolves, expect a high uncontested possession count and the points associated

Tom Rockliff: A near unparalleled record against Melbourne and coming off his biggest score of 2013. Over 30 disposals, 2 goals and a satisfactory tackle-count should see him generate a mammoth total

Leigh Montagna: Given defensive assignments in 2013 but is yet to take any seriously, Montagna isn’t the player he was but still knows where to find a cheap possession. With Kane Cornes suspended, there is a chance he could be head-to-head with someone like Ebert. Both could have big days.

Nick Riewoldt: Is playing too well to justify being in this section but some coaches have considered trading him out! Whatever you do, keep him against the inexperienced defence of Port Adelaide. Gunston and Roughead both scored 5 goals last week and Bellchambers scored 5 the week prior. Enough said?

Player Average      Projection   
Pearce Hanley 88.50 110
Michael Hibberd 87.00 107
Tom Rockliff 93.93 123
Leigh Montagna 104.57 118
Nick Riewoldt 102.20 120

 

Predicted Under-Performers

We’ve also chosen 5 players who are poised to perform poorly this weekend for various reasons. If you need to trade someone out or are considering bringing one of these players in, make sure you check out our predictions!

Brendon Goddard: Looked horribly out of form last week and whilst we’d typically expect a bounce-back performance, GWS are likely to tag him heavily given Jobe Watson’s continued absence.

Brent Stanton: Similar situation to Goddard, except that Stanton has proven year upon year that he can’t break a tag. Watson’s absence will hurt him the most of anyone.

Kieran Jack: Drawing more attention in recent weeks than he did in the first half of the season. One of Sydney’s best players is finally being recognized as such and despite typically performing well against West Coast, expect his production to be stunted.

Brett Deledio: The weekly question of who Ryan Crowley will go to. Martin is too inefficient with his disposal to warrant attention, Cotchin could stake a claim but Ross Lyon will value the impact of Lids too highly to let him go unchecked.

Andrew Swallow: Facing a Carlton side desperate for a win and becoming renowned for ruining fantasy production. Will avoid the Armfield and Cachia tags but with just 13 tackles int he last 3 weeks (his worst 3-game streak since Rounds 19-21 last season), his main source of points Friday night looks to be hampered.

Player 

Average     

Projection    

Kieran Jack 102.73 88
Brent Stanton 108.79 82
Brett Deledio 94.93 70
Andrew Swallow 99.00 89
Brendon Goddard 104.90 85

Captaincy

Gary Ablett hasn’t disappointed in recent weeks, but only because we have almost unrealistic expectations of him. In a week where he plays Collingwood however, expect the Brownlow favourite to return to top form despite the attention he’ll receive from Brent Macaffer.

Dane Swan and Scott Pendlebury have returned to their usual bests and against a Gold Coast side more likely to make the finals than apply a heavy tag, expect big scores.

Add Nick Riewoldt as a more unique option, and you’re spoiled for choice.

 

Player Projection    
Gary Ablett 112
Dane Swan 136
Scott Pendlebury 114
Nick Riewoldt 120

 

The Last Word

Suspension to several fantasy relevant players may have thrown your trade plans into a spin, but with every setback, comes another.

Try a few different trade combination to get the best possible score out of your line-up and don’t forget to use dual-position players to increase your options!

The top teams in the competition are consistently scoring in excess of 2200 points by this stage of the season, so if you have players who aren’t regularly scoring above 90 in defence or the ruck and 100 in the midfield and up forward, look to offload them.

As always, good luck this week in your quest for AFL Dream Team greatness!

Don’t forget to check out The Fantasy From from AFL Round 16 for more Dream Team stats and facts!

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About Author

On twitter @rombarbera. Australian sports by day, international sports by night. Co-founder of Blindside Sport. Fantasy sport addict.

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